Nuclear technology: history, state and technical challenges of nuclear power development
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Издательство:
НИЦ ИНФРА-М
Автор:
Мурогов Виктор Михайлович
Год издания: 2019
Кол-во страниц: 123
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Вид издания:
Монография
Уровень образования:
Профессиональное образование
ISBN-онлайн: 978-5-16-107748-1
Артикул: 707630.01.99
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Данный курс лекций был подготовлен научной группой под руководством профессора В.М. Мурогова в рамках программы «Ответственная наука» с использованием опубликованных материалов: самостоятельно и любезно предоставлено МАГАТЭ и другими организациями.
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В.М. МУРОГОВ NUCLEAR TECHNOLOGY HISTORY, STATE AND TECHNICAL CHALLENGES OF NUCLEAR POWER DEVELOPMENT Монография Москва ИНФРА-М 2019
V.M. MUROGOV NUCLEAR TECHNOLOGY HISTORY, STATE AND TECHNICAL CHALLENGES OF NUCLEAR POWER DEVELOPMENT Monograph Moscow INFRA-M 2019
УДК 621.039(075.4) ББК 31.4 М91 Автор: В.М. Мурогов — профессор, директор Международного центра ядерного образования (Национальный исследовательский ядерный университет «МИФИ») Рецензенты: Б.М. Тулинов — кандидат наук, директор Института международных отношений НРНУ (Национальный исследовательский ядерный университет «МИФИ»); В.П. Рухло — кандидат наук, консультант МАГАТЭ Мурогов В.М. М91 Nuclear technology: history, state and technical challenges of nuclear power development : монография / В.М. Мурогов. — М. : ИНФРА-М, 2019. — 123 с. ISBN 978-5-16-107748-1 (online) Данный курс лекций был подготовлен научной группой под руководством профессора В.М. Мурогова в рамках программы «Ответственная наука» с использованием опубликованных материалов: самостоятельно и любезно предоставлено МАГАТЭ и другими организациями. Для научных работников и специалистов в области ядерных технологий. УДК 621.039(075.4) ББК 31.4 ISBN 978-5-16-107748-1 (online) © Мурогов В.М., 2019 ФЗ № 436-ФЗ Издание не подлежит маркировке в соответствии с п. 1 ч. 2 ст. 1
Author: V.M. Murogov — Professor, director International Center of Nuclear Education (National Research Nuclear University MEPhI) Reviewers: B.M. Tulinov — PhD, director Institute International Relations NRNU (National Research Nuclear University MEPhI); V.P. Rukhlo — PhD, IAEA consultant Murogov V.M. Nuclear technology: history, state and technical challenges of nuclear power development : monograph / V.M. Murogov. — М. : INFRA-M, 2019. — 123 p. ISBN 978-5-16-107748-1 (online) This Course of Lectures was prepared by the Scientific Team under Leadership of Prof. V.M. Murogov in the framework Program “Responsible Science“ with the use of published materials: their own and kindly provided by IAEA and other organizations. For scientists and specialists in the field of nuclear technology. ISBN 978-5-16-107748-1 (online) © Murogov V.M., 2019
CONTENTS PART I CURRENT STATUS AND INTERNAL CONTRADICTION OF TRADITIONAL ENERGY DEVELOPMENT ......................................................................8 I.1. Structure, of power generation and consumption of energy resources: Global, regional and national overview. Contradictions of the requirements of energy security and current situation in the world: Needs for development of the new industrial and sustainable sources of energy..................................................................................................................................9 I.1.1. The status of global power industry................................................................10 I.1.2. Ecological aspects of hydrocarbon energy .....................................................13 I.1.3. The prospects for energy development...........................................................15 I.2. Concept of sustainable energy development. Indicators for sustainable development. United Nation Programme Agenda 21 and its requirements.................................................17 I.2.1. Concept of sustainable energy development ..................................................17 I.2.2. Indicators for sustainable development............................................................19 I.2.3. United Nation Programme Agenda 21 and its requirements ..........................22 PART II CURRENT STATUS AND MODERN PROBLEM FOR FULL-SCALE DEVELOPMENT NUCLEAR POWER...............................................................................25 II.1. Introduction: Current status of nuclear power development. Role of nuclear energy for development: industrial and developing country ..................................................................26 II.1.1. Current status of nuclear power development...............................................26 II.1.2. Role of nuclear energy for development: industrial and developing country30 II.2. History of the development nuclear science and technology, nuclear power and nuclear fuel cycle technology.............................................................................................................34 II.2.1. Basic stages in the history of nuclear science ...............................................34 II.2.2. The first commercial use of nuclear energy ..................................................38 II.2.3. Milestones in the history of nuclear energy science and technology ............42 II.2.4. Brief information about outstanding scientists..............................................44 II.3. History, current status and future prospects of nuclear power development in the major nuclear countries: Western Europe, USA, the former Soviet Union and Russian Federation48 II.3.1. Nuclear power in Western European countries.............................................48 II.3.2. Nuclear power in the USA ............................................................................55 II.3.3. Nuclear power in Russia................................................................................60 II.4. History, current status and future prospects of nuclear power development in Asia ....65 II.4.1. Nuclear power in China.................................................................................65 II.4.2. Nuclear programme in India..........................................................................69 II.4.3. Nuclear Power Development in Asia ............................................................72 II.5. Nuclear fuel cycle: fuel supply, enrichment, and reprocessing, open and closed fuel cycle, waste disposal .............................................................................................................74 II.5.1. Introduction ...................................................................................................74 II.5.2. NFC technology components ........................................................................74 II.5.3. Global infrastructure of NFC.........................................................................75 II.5.4. Requirements to NFC....................................................................................77 II.5.6. NFC internationalization ...............................................................................79 II.6. Non-power applications of nuclear medicine, agriculture, industry, desalination, heating and others..................................................................................................................82 II.6.1. Research reactors...........................................................................................82 II.6.2. Non-electric application of nuclear technologies..........................................84 II.6.3. Radioisotopes in medicine.............................................................................86
II.6.4. Radioisotopes in industry ..............................................................................88 II.6.5. Non-electric applications of nuclear energy..................................................91 II.7. Role of international cooperation in nuclear science and technology development and international nuclear organizations: IAEA, WNA, WANO, OECD–NEA and others .........94 II.7.1. Some stages of international initiatives on the peaceful use of nuclear energy94 II.7.2. International Initiatives on non-proliferation and use of nuclear weapon.....96 II.7.3. Key international organizations related to the peaceful use of nuclear energy97 II.7.4. International initiatives on the development of innovative nuclear energy systems.............................................................................................................................107 II.7.5. The need for global cooperation..................................................................114 PART III CONCLUSION..................................................................................................116 III.1. Energy security and role of nuclear power for sustainable development of the planet117 III.1.1. Challenges and contradictions of nuclear energy development.................117 III.1.2. Social–political and economical aspects of nuclear energy development .120 III.1.3. Nuclear culture...........................................................................................121 III.1.4. NPP and NFC of the future — International Scientific and Technical Cooperation .....................................................................................................................122
INTRODUCTION The Multimedia Course “SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL CHALLENGES IN NUCLEAR POWER DEVELOPMENT” consists of textbook of lectures (10 lectures, approx. 120 pages), 10 presentations (approx. 800 slides), and reference video materials in English (approx. 30 DVD). The Multimedia Course is nonstandard discipline which is not available at normal university lectures. It helps students understand the objectives and background of the nuclear science and technology development in depth and foster logical thinking capability through various analysis, comparison and case studies. Latest information about innovative technology under development and international cooperation in progress gives the students clear and dynamic picture of the nuclear industry and international scheme. This course of lectures was developed based on flash-technology and includes a set of multimedia flash-presentations with video clips, animation, audios, interactive control elements (zooming-in pictures, highlighting of some fragments in the presentation, etc.). This technology was chosen due to the fact that the information prepared can be used on any programmable platform, which supposes a correct operation of the application regardless of the operating system and the availability of special-purpose software. The versatility and availability are the main advantages of flash–technology, which allow the creation of cross-platforms, stable running and protected software products that represent an up-to-date high-effective fail-safe support for education process. Moreover, the potential of this course of lectures provides the basis for subsequent preparation of courses for distance education. The presentation is commanded (paging, exit to menu, printing, slideshow mode) using the control buttons located in the upper left corner and on the control panel as well as using the key buttons (PgUp, PgDn). The pictures being highlighted in yellow by pointing with mouse can be zoomed in with a mouse click. Video clips and audios can be activated by starting the corresponding player. Provision is made for highlighting certain fragments on slide. To do this, it is necessary to draw a curved line on slide by pressing the left mouse button. The line will remain on slide until you exit the presentation. The line can be deleted by pressing the delete button. At the end of each presentation there is a set of video clips on lecture subject. The user (lecturer) may replace video clips, if necessary. To do this, the video files in the folder with a particular lecture should be replaced. Video files are in FLV–format.
Part I CURRENT STATUS AND INTERNAL CONTRADICTION OF TRADITIONAL ENERGY DEVELOPMENT
I.1. STRUCTURE, OF POWER GENERATION AND CONSUMPTION OF ENERGY RESOURCES: GLOBAL, REGIONAL AND NATIONAL OVERVIEW. CONTRADICTIONS OF THE REQUIREMENTS OF ENERGY SECURITY AND CURRENT SITUATION IN THE WORLD: NEEDS FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THE NEW INDUSTRIAL AND SUSTAINABLE SOURCES OF ENERGY Sufficient power supply is required for normal economic performance, and the energy shortage is a constraining factor of sustainable energy development. An empirical relation is well known: in order to provide an increment of 1% in gross national product it is necessary to provide an increase from 0.5 to 1.5% in energy production and consumption. Energy consumption is a derivative of economic range and level of national socio-economic development. Ensuring the humankind with energy requires energy resources and technologies for converting them into end-use energy. Energy resources and demand are unevenly distributed around the world depending on geological and geographical features of a particular country. The global economic development is therefore effected due to active world trade of energy resources, which provides necessary flows from resource-excess to resource-shortage regions. One key tendency should be noted towards the use of energy resources in the history of mankind caused by the need for increase in labor efficiency. As the industrial and technogenic civilization advanced, there occurred the transition to the use of more concentrated energy sources, which was characteristic of the power industry as well as for the human activity as a whole. This is best reflected in the development of defense technology. At the same time the process takes place that is caused by the increase in power density, which is logically associated with the necessity of growth of unit ratings of power plants (Fig. I.1). These tendencies have been responsible to a certain degree for the change in primary energy source over the past 150 years: wood → coal → oil → gas FIG. I.1. Classification of energy resources.
In the early 21st century, the power industry has been developing by a ‘hydrocarbon’ scenario specified away back in the last century. In the foreseeable future, such scenario assumes, however, high risks for both leading national economies and the global economical system. This necessitates the search for protection methods against such risks by developing energy-efficient technologies, alternative energy sources, primarily in the nuclear power [1-4]. I.1.1. The status of global power industry Currently, the structure of global energy consumption is as follows: oil — 36% of consumed energy resources, coal — 28%, gas — 24%, hydropower — 6%, nuclear power — 6% (Fig. I.2). The main increment in consumption is generally provided by the economies of Asia Pacific Region (APR) countries, primarily China. The growth of industrial production and social transformations associated with economic development in such thickly inhabited countries as China and India provide the effect that the indexes of average energy consumption per capita in developing countries rapidly approaches to those of the developed countries (Fig. I.3). FIG. I.2. Evolution from 1971 to 2008 of world total primary energy supply by fuel (Mtoe). FIG. I.3. Evolution from 1971 to 2008 of world total primary energy supply by region (Mtoe) (*Asia excludes China, **Includes international aviation and international marine bunkers).
One of the multiple signals that makes one to expect a sharp increase in consumption of energy resources in APR countries in the near future is the projected — up to 2030 — increase of a number of light vehicles, on the average by about 9% in South Asia, while the mean value for the whole world being about 2%. Urbanization can be also considered as another signal; its rates are indicated by the following figures: if 10% of the global population lived in cities in 1900, and in 2007 urban and rural sectors went shares, it is expected that approximately 75% of people would live in cities by 2050. In fast-going industrialization of developing countries, a significant role is played by such ‘dirty’ and/or power-intensive sectors as metallurgy, petrochemical, automobile, electronics, aviation, paper-and-pulp and other industries. This provides not only the growth of hydrocarbon consumption, but also strengthening of negative effect on the ecological situation. In particular, the amount of carbon dioxide emissions is increasing, which is on the list of greenhouse gases that cause the increase of atmospheric temperature. The International Energy Agency has formulated a core of the current situation on the fossil fuel market as follows: the problem is not in the absence of resources, but in providing the access to these resources. As a consequence, it is followed by sharpening of the world competition for the rights and conditions of resource access. The coal reserves and availability are great. If it is used not only in solid phase, the timeframes for its potential application go beyond hundreds of years. The main disadvantages of coal consist in uneven location of reserves, health risk and hazard to life, and environmental contamination during coal mining and using. The coal market is a global market with limited supply sources. Thus, 90% of coal is concentrated in China, the United States, Russia and Australia. However, these countries are also facing a number of problems to be solved in the use of coal. For example China, the country, the industrial development of which is most associated with the availability of coal reserves. By 2010, more than 2 milliard tones of coal per year will be mined in China for all industrial needs (more than in all OECD countries). China cannot continue to intensively increase the amount of coal transportation due to its railway tonnage capacity. Due to the fact that the main coal mining is located in the North, while the consumption — south-east, China has to provide its South areas by exporting high-quality coal from Australia due to logistics limitations. The greatest environmental damage is known to be connected with coal consumption, which is also associated with the maximum risk for human life — during mining and transportation. According to statistical data, the mining of 1 million tons of coal is connected with the fatality of 5–10 miners (depending on the technology and industrial culture). In China, only according to the official statistics more than 5000 miners died in 2004. The situation is more complicated with oil and gas. In using oil resources, things are coming to the moment of truth. If the reserves of new oil deposits yearly have exceeded annual consumption so far, currently they are equal. Annual world oil production is expected to be steadily declined (2–3% per year). By 2040, annual oil output is expected to be 50–60% to the level of 2000. In addition, more than 70% of the global oil production will fall on Muslim countries. In the United States, the own black gold will be sufficient only for about 10–15 years at a current rate of oil production. The situation with gas is the same, but estimated more optimistically — gas reserves would be sufficient for 40–50 years. The following has been changed in the structure of gas consumption over the last 30 years: gas — along with oil — was replaced from the industry by coal. Its non-electric application and use for transport purposes became widely used. By comparing the number of consumed and imported oil, gas and coal, the following
figures can be obtained: 67% of consumed oil, 26% of gas including liquefied natural gas and 16% of coal were imported in 2006. In other words, oil, gas and coal are energy resources of global, regional and local significance, respectively. Import and export operations with energy resources maintain the polarization and interrelation of production and user countries established in international relations in the last century. By comparing the list of regions that are leaders in proved reserves of energy resources with the list of regions being the user-leaders, they are seen to be fully mismatched. For example, Middle East, Europe, the countries of the former USSR and Africa precede by the amount of proved oil reserves, whereas oil is most consumed in the countries of APR, North America, Europe including Russia and a number of the former Soviet republics. A more vivid picture can be formed in detailing the list: the largest proved oil reserves are located in Saudi Arabia, Iran and Iraq, while the United States, China and Japan are taking a lead in the list of oil consumers. Therefore, the world’s largest economies increasingly depend on the situation in the regions supplying considerable part of consumed energy resources (as the suppliers depend on the development of these economies). Such interdependence can be demonstrated by the United States and China. Oil is supplied to the USA from the Central and South America, North and West Africa, from Middle East, Europe. China mainly imports oil from the countries of Middle East, Africa, APR, the former USSR. It is obvious that possible breakdown in supplies for any reason including domestic ones is the gravest threat for such large consumers as the United States and China, by making the development of their national economy conditional on internal and external political events in other countries. On the one hand, such risk stimulates the importers to create reserves for a rainy day and boosts the rise of prices on energy resources; on the other hand, it motivates consuming countries to the diversification of supplies and increase of nuclear share and power engineering based on renewable energy sources in the structure of national energy consumption. These measures are a part of the activity focused on ensuring the energy security, which also supposes the prevention of accidents and terroristic attacks against energy facilities, support of investments into its infrastructure, optimization of arrangement of markets for all kinds of energy resources in order to avoid the threat of reducing energy resources supply at bearable prices. The positions of energy resource exporters are also vulnerable: the refusal of any large consumer from supplies from an exporting country can inflict heavy destruction of its economy. Thus, the energy security supposes not only assured access of consumers to energy, but also assured entrance to the global market, i.e. the main goal of energy security is to ensure the stability of international flows of energy resources. The issues of energy security become more and more urgent in view of the limitedness of global reserves of hydrocarbon energy resources, primarily oil. The further exploitation of open-access and long developed oil fields based on state-of-the-art technologies will result in reduction of oil production volumes in the near future. Although the proved world oil reserves are sufficient to meet the increasing demand for energy resources up to the 2030s, substantial investments and introduction of new technologies are required to provide more efficient exploitation of readily available deposits and development of hard-to-reach fields. In conjunction with political risks in the countries that are the largest producers of energy resources, the uncertainty about resource base causes the instability of energy markets and international political situation. The following conclusion can be made from the above about the current state in the field of production, consumption and distribution of the world energy resources. Currently, the experts suggest more often the anticipation of systemic energy crisis that is evidenced
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